Saturday, October 30, 2010

House Forecasts: 'Historic Bloodbath'

Reviewing the House Forecasts According to Taegen Goddard's Political Wire:

Larry Sabato: "We are raising the total to +55 net R seats. We consider 47 to be in the ballpark still, but more of a floor than a ceiling."

Charlie Cook: "House outlook is a Democratic net loss of 48 to 60 seats, with higher losses possible."

Stuart Rothenberg: "House Democrats appear headed for a historic bloodbath... We estimate likely GOP House gains at 55 to 65 seats, with gains at or above 70 seats possible."

Nate Silver: "The model's best guess is that the new Congress will be composed of 203 Democrats and 232 Republicans: a net gain of 53 seats for the G.O.P. In addition, Democratic odds of retaining the House dropped to 17% from 20%."

It's interesting to note that Political Wire contributor Harry Enten forecast a GOP takeover on the House back in February noting "the Republicans could easily gain 50-60 seats from their current 178. Gains of greater than 60 seats also look quite possible."

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

END THIS DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL COMMUNIST PARTY

NO TO COMMUNISM

VOTE REPUBLICAN

OR TEA PARTY

Anonymous said...

With less than a week to go before Election Day, widespread dissatisfaction with the way things are going in the country combined with negative views of the economy and frustration with the government point to major trouble for the incumbent majority Democrats. In addition, a Fox News poll released Friday shows President Obama's job approval has hit a record low--CHECK BACK ON TUESDAY NIGHT IF YOU WANT TO SEE LOW!

Anonymous said...

The new poll finds if the election were held today, 50 percent of likely voters would favor the Republican candidate in their House district and 37 percent the Democratic candidate, with 10 percent still undecided.

How could anyone still be undecided? You either favor the party of paychecks, or the party of unemployment checks.

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